Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1345.571350 1534.856882 1746.743140 2002.529781 2304.293874 2650.612957 3080.498773
2025-08-10 1086.779949 1341.121829 1654.195381 2072.356741 2622.992326 3332.841187 4332.868698
2025-08-17 943.906045 1225.548079 1594.473518 2121.959506 2871.507348 3921.476265 5545.992395
2025-08-24 838.455939 1132.964056 1538.250375 2150.548344 3077.117317 4469.550307 6806.969347
2025-08-31 755.295498 1055.091749 1485.105509 2166.050041 3254.415949 4995.159537 8142.106622
2025-09-07 696.115905 1001.655937 1456.509797 2208.309608 3472.274515 5616.123178 9778.945726
2025-09-14 621.765089 915.808771 1366.652658 2137.905194 3489.107612 5895.041714 10857.608407
2025-09-21 560.447962 842.786352 1287.231666 2071.497293 3498.138391 6155.258408 11957.041556
2025-09-28 506.226014 775.232749 1208.642696 1994.859589 3474.273816 6345.024196 12953.202957
2025-10-05 487.036221 762.118272 1217.754008 2072.224628 3747.649437 7167.428888 15579.577004
2025-10-12 462.619649 737.691942 1204.521229 2106.178168 3940.663672 7861.575287 18119.618898
2025-10-19 438.741361 711.807851 1185.717110 2126.456704 4108.000335 8532.896822 20822.325414
2025-10-26 414.752764 684.357531 1162.657247 2138.227028 4265.746156 9232.546889 23906.079931
2025-11-02 400.572625 673.133057 1168.345257 2208.860592 4566.906187 10353.447993 28702.318068
2025-11-09 385.491984 658.760636 1166.325248 2262.753311 4839.218414 11470.885437 34006.255950
2025-11-16 369.031824 640.314670 1154.414973 2293.596841 5062.149608 12515.785982 39586.419143
2025-11-23 352.474373 620.245737 1137.224188 2310.339326 5253.267876 13523.864959 45573.428224
2025-11-30 340.188729 607.335044 1133.100416 2355.985357 5527.597341 14856.961494 53644.345649
2025-12-07 317.324996 571.972363 1079.583724 2279.946261 5463.956737 15126.442746 57314.902429
2025-12-14 296.801358 539.845119 1030.225684 2208.257727 5401.113161 15387.066125 61134.470886
2025-12-21 276.964159 507.812206 978.608308 2125.568328 5294.797490 15480.550106 64243.513646
2025-12-28 272.548154 506.763387 993.503464 2209.042715 5685.169396 17418.702073 78316.705860
2026-01-04 264.543028 497.709297 990.033664 2245.692165 5944.053362 18971.965109 91631.750280